the spend

The SpaceX IPO that could move the entire market

Luís Rijo — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 14:52:54 +0200

SpaceX is set to price its shares on Thursday and list Friday. The $75 billion offering may trigger a chain reaction across global stock markets.

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Why the ebike startup bubble burst - and who got burned

Luís Rijo — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 06:08:45 +0200

Hundreds of millions in VC funding. Pandemic demand. Then tariffs, quality failures, and a brutal reckoning. The economics of the ebike startup collapse.

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What the firing of Scott Pelley really cost CBS

Luís Rijo — Sun, 07 Jun 2026 16:29:50 +0200

The 60 Minutes purge is not just a media story. It is a case study in what happens when a $16 million payment buys editorial silence.

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The Iran war is burning through missiles the US will take years to replace

Luís Rijo — Sun, 07 Jun 2026 12:19:31 +0200

Six thousand missiles in 16 days. The war in Iran has exposed a math problem at the heart of American military spending that politicians and defense contractors have spent decades avoiding.

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The AI bill that nobody budgeted for

Luís Rijo — Sat, 06 Jun 2026 12:17:08 +0200

Token economics are reshaping how companies pay for AI - and the bills are nothing like what anyone expected.

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Your index fund is about to buy SpaceX whether you like it or not

Luís Rijo — Sat, 06 Jun 2026 02:15:50 +0200

Nasdaq rewrote its rules weeks before the biggest IPO in history. Here is who benefits, who absorbs the risk, and why the timing matters.

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How Ireland's record GDP crash dragged the euro area into reverse

Luís Rijo — Fri, 05 Jun 2026 21:52:46 +0200

Ireland's GDP fell 12.1% in early 2026, the steepest quarterly drop on record, flipping the whole euro area into contraction. The catch: it was never growth.

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Most companies are using AI. Almost none of it is working

Luís Rijo — Fri, 05 Jun 2026 14:38:30 +0200

AI adoption is near-universal, but an economist who advises C-suites says only 10-15% of actual work touches the technology - and it shows.

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The exit door just got a lot smaller for private credit investors

Luís Rijo — Fri, 05 Jun 2026 12:01:07 +0200

Blackstone capped withdrawals at its $79 billion private credit fund after investors tried to pull double the allowed limit in a single quarter.

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Putin's war machine works. That's exactly why Russia's economy doesn't

Luís Rijo — Fri, 05 Jun 2026 11:03:03 +0200

Russia's GDP contracted in Q1 2026 as over 200,000 businesses closed. The same policy keeping the war funded is systematically strangling the civilian economy.

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Ray Dalio says the US debt machine has passed the point of no return

Luís Rijo — Thu, 04 Jun 2026 07:52:51 +0200

The founder of the world's largest hedge fund told a Bloomberg summit the US is spending $2 trillion more than it earns. Here is the economic logic.

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Europe's banks are being told to patch faster - they can't use the tool that finds the holes

Luís Rijo — Wed, 03 Jun 2026 17:11:53 +0200

The ECB is pressing eurozone banks to fix software vulnerabilities faster because AI can reverse-engineer a patch in 30 minutes. The catch: European banks can't access the AI doing the finding.

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How China's government bet on science - and won

Luís Rijo — Tue, 02 Jun 2026 21:43:03 +0200

An ECB working paper finds China's 2006 state science plan drove a 26% surge in top research output, upending Western assumptions about central planning.

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Europeans feel poorer even as prices stop rising

Luís Rijo — Tue, 02 Jun 2026 21:37:21 +0200

ECB survey data shows Europeans feel more inflation pain, expect less income, and are being cut off from credit - all at the same time.

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The euro is gaining ground - but the dollar isn't losing its throne

Luís Rijo — Tue, 02 Jun 2026 21:30:46 +0200

Euro-denominated debt hit a record high in 2025, topping the green bond market. But the ECB warns the opening could close fast.

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Iowa's cancer crisis and the industry that built it

Luís Rijo — Tue, 02 Jun 2026 21:25:11 +0200

Iowa has the second-highest cancer rate in the US and is one of only three states where rates are still rising. The water is the reason.

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The man who called every bubble says AI is the next one

Luís Rijo — Tue, 02 Jun 2026 15:50:48 +0200

Jeremy Grantham has predicted every major market crash since the 1980s. He says the AI spending race is destroying the monopoly profits it was supposed to protect.

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The bond market is finally charging America for the Iran war

Luís Rijo — Tue, 02 Jun 2026 09:09:14 +0200

US 30-year Treasury yields hit a 19-year high as war costs, inflation, and a $2 trillion SpaceX IPO collide in the same week.

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The quiet plan to make $36 trillion disappear

Luís Rijo — Mon, 01 Jun 2026 22:49:14 +0200

Financial repression - the strategy of keeping interest rates below inflation to erode debt - is back. Here is who pays for it.

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Portugal's housing trap: the central bank steps in

Luís Rijo — Mon, 01 Jun 2026 20:38:26 +0200

Portugal's house prices rose faster than almost every EU country for a decade. Now the central bank is pulling the emergency brake.

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The first class of AI natives is entering the workforce, ready or not

Luís Rijo — Sun, 31 May 2026 18:12:56 +0200

Young workers who grew up with ChatGPT are graduating into a job market that is simultaneously erasing and elevating the entry-level role.

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The $250 bill that George Washington would have refused to touch

Luís Rijo — Sun, 31 May 2026 09:35:41 +0200

Trump's Treasury has designed a $250 bill bearing his face. A law bans it. A Founder warned against it. The economics anyway are worth understanding.

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How Amazon turned one mouse click into a 20-year, multi-billion-dollar moat

Luís Rijo — Sat, 30 May 2026 20:35:14 +0200

Amazon's 1-Click patent gave it 20 years of exclusive control over single-click buying. The economics of that monopoly, and the strange afterlife since it expired.

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The price of borrowing just hit a 19-year high. Now what?

Luís Rijo — Fri, 29 May 2026 22:03:30 +0200

Global bond yields are surging to levels not seen since before the 2008 crisis. Here is why every mortgage, business loan, and government budget is affected.

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Three asteroids headed for Earth: the $200 billion IPO flood arrives

Luís Rijo — Thu, 28 May 2026 20:01:35 +0200

Three of the most anticipated public offerings in history - SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic - are set to absorb over $200 billion from investors in months.

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Graduates are booing the AI pitch, and the math explains why

Luís Rijo — Wed, 27 May 2026 18:12:48 +0200

Young workers entering a job market hollowed out by AI have nothing to celebrate - and they are making that clear.

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Portugal changed the citizenship rules after investors already paid

Luís Rijo — Tue, 26 May 2026 21:56:36 +0200

Portugal doubled its citizenship waiting period to 10 years, and over 500 Golden Visa investors who paid up to €500,000 are now preparing to sue.

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Meta's 350 Irish job cuts: AI alibi or metaverse bill coming due?

Luís Rijo — Tue, 26 May 2026 07:30:23 +0200

Meta cut 20% of its Irish workforce in May 2026, blaming AI. But the bill from an $83 billion failed metaverse may be the real story.

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London's best selling point is now that it's cheap

Luís Rijo — Tue, 26 May 2026 07:11:52 +0200

London's productivity fell as British workers got priced out. Now American tech firms call it a bargain. That is not a recovery story.

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Amazon built a $56bn ad business by ignoring its own rule #1

Luís Rijo — Mon, 25 May 2026 23:43:22 +0200

Amazon's advertising arm earns $56 billion a year selling products shoppers cannot distinguish from real results. Here is the price everyone pays for that.

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Finland is the EU's worst economy - and almost nobody noticed

Luís Rijo — Mon, 25 May 2026 15:25:51 +0200

Finland's unemployment has hit 11.1%, the highest in the EU, after nearly two decades of stagnation driven by Nokia's collapse, a housing bust, and an aging workforce.

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Stanford's AI class: the fraud factory hiding in plain sight

Luís Rijo — Mon, 25 May 2026 10:31:09 +0200

AI didn't create Stanford's culture of cutting corners - it industrialized it. Meet the class that was the experiment.

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OpenAI is spending $600 billion to maybe win a race nobody has mapped

Luís Rijo — Mon, 25 May 2026 08:18:51 +0200

OpenAI's plan to outspend every rival may be the most expensive bet in tech history - and the math still doesn't add up.

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The AI that can't fold laundry is about to get a $1 billion makeover

Luís Rijo — Mon, 25 May 2026 08:13:37 +0200

Two Paris-based AI researchers explain why the chatbot era is ending - and what physical AI and world models will cost to build next.

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Why the AI job apocalypse keeps not happening - and what that misses

Luís Rijo — Thu, 21 May 2026 21:23:00 +0200

The 19th-century coal paradox that explains why AI makes human work more valuable - and who it is already leaving behind.

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SpaceX just filed to go public and the numbers are a mess

Luís Rijo — Thu, 21 May 2026 19:17:59 +0200

SpaceX filed the largest IPO in history today, targeting $75 billion - but its financials reveal a $4.3 billion quarterly loss and an AI unit bleeding cash.

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Japan is cornered and it's everyone's problem

Luís Rijo — Wed, 20 May 2026 19:05:32 +0200

The world's most indebted country is watching its borrowing costs hit records not seen since before the financial crisis. The fallout won't stay in Tokyo.

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Ryanair's $67 bet is the only thing standing between cheap flights and an airline collapse

Luís Rijo — Mon, 18 May 2026 21:41:08 +0200

The same war that is grounding competitors is handing Europe's biggest budget carrier its best quarter in history - and Michael O'Leary knows exactly why.

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A bankrupt YouTuber just ranked 15 economies. The list is sharper than it looks

Luís Rijo — Sun, 17 May 2026 22:28:42 +0200

A British vlogger spent seven years filming every former Soviet republic. His final ranking is a tourism price guide hiding inside a travel video.

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Seven companies are holding up the global economy - and markets know it

Luís Rijo — Sun, 17 May 2026 17:11:33 +0200

The S&P 500 is at record highs while consumers feel terrible. The difference is $700 billion being spent by a handful of tech giants on AI. And now serious people are asking what happens if they stop.

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The man who saw it coming says it is just getting started

Luís Rijo — Sun, 17 May 2026 12:30:00 +0200

SocGen's Albert Edwards has spent 40 years being right at the wrong time. Now he says double-digit inflation is coming - and this time the math backs him up.

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The beans and Boeing summit that changed nothing

Luís Rijo — Sun, 17 May 2026 12:25:26 +0200

The Trump-Xi Beijing summit produced a 200-jet deal and soybean pledges. But the trade war's root cause is an accounting problem nobody at the table wants to fix.

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How the richest gold rush in history made Portugal poorer

Luís Rijo — Sat, 16 May 2026 20:57:17 +0200

Brazil's gold built Lisbon's palaces and funded Portugal's empire - then quietly destroyed its economy. The Braganza dynasty's story is also a lesson in the resource curse.

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The summit that couldn't fix an accounting problem pretending to be a trade war

Luís Rijo — Sat, 16 May 2026 20:35:08 +0200

The Trump-Xi Beijing summit produced soybeans, Boeing jets, and a new committee. None of it will fix the imbalance that made the summit necessary.

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Berlin's tourism boom is over - and the city is partly to blame

Luís Rijo — Thu, 14 May 2026 14:20:42 +0200

Berlin's overnight stays fell below 30 million in 2025 as hotels close, taxes rise, and the post-Wall mystique fades - while Munich and Hamburg grow.

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The terrifying cost of a superpower nobody can read anymore

Luís Rijo — Thu, 14 May 2026 12:08:18 +0200

The US has always been powerful. What is new - and what Martin Wolf calls genuinely terrifying - is that nobody, including America's allies, can predict what it will do next. That uncertainty has a price.

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Germany is expensive, but nobody is getting what they paid for

Luís Rijo — Wed, 13 May 2026 20:38:17 +0200

A Brazilian entrepreneur's viral critique of Germany exposes a structural cost-value failure affecting skilled workers and entrepreneurs across Europe.

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The war America cannot win from the air - and what it costs to fight it on the ground

Luís Rijo — Tue, 12 May 2026 22:05:38 +0200

Iran's mosaic defense is holding. The economic battle for the Strait of Hormuz is reshaping global energy prices, food costs, and geopolitical alliances in real time.

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Germany's hospitals are going broke under the system designed to pay them

Luís Rijo — Tue, 12 May 2026 22:01:22 +0200

The pricing formula behind every surgery, and why two-thirds of German clinics are losing money anyway.

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Your flight isn't cancelled. It's just more expensive to run

Luís Rijo — Sun, 10 May 2026 21:12:14 +0200

The jet fuel crisis isn't grounding summer holidays - it's quietly repricing who gets to go on them.

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Germany's nanny state is eating its own economy

Luís Rijo — Sun, 10 May 2026 18:16:52 +0200

Germany's bureaucratic overload costs €146 billion a year in lost output. A frozen pizza sold cold is banned. Sold hot, it is perfectly legal.

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The K-shaped economy is here to stay - and a war just made it worse

Luís Rijo — Sun, 10 May 2026 18:09:32 +0200

War in the Middle East is doing what economists feared most: turning an already split economy into something permanent. Here is how the math works.

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NYC's luxury buyers are broke too - they just don't know it yet

Luís Rijo — Sun, 10 May 2026 17:59:46 +0200

Even people buying $4 million condos in Manhattan are stretched thin. Welcome to the city where the cost of living has become a character flaw.

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GameStop's $56 billion bid for eBay is mostly shares it doesn't have

Luís Rijo — Sun, 10 May 2026 16:50:44 +0200

A shrinking video game retailer just made an unsolicited offer to buy one of the internet's oldest companies. The financing doesn't add up. The CEO wore a leather jacket. The smartest money in the room left.

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The data center that drained 44 swimming pools - and nobody noticed

Luís Rijo — Sun, 10 May 2026 15:16:32 +0200

A Blackstone-owned data center in Georgia drew 29 million gallons of water without paying. Now an entire city has banned new data centers.

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Cloudflare fires 1,100 people the same day it reports record revenue

Luís Rijo — Fri, 08 May 2026 07:41:11 +0200

Cloudflare cut 20% of its workforce while posting its best-ever quarterly results - a paradox that explains exactly where the tech economy is headed.

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Two economies, one country: the wage gap just hit a decade high

Luís Rijo — Thu, 07 May 2026 22:30:37 +0200

The K-shaped economy is widening fast. New data shows top earners gaining 5.6% while low-income wages grow just 1% - and gas prices make it worse.

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The math nobody runs before buying a house

Luís Rijo — Thu, 07 May 2026 07:20:13 +0200

The real cost of owning a home goes far beyond the mortgage. A simple formula exposes the price at which renting beats buying outright.

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America's $700 billion AI bet could trigger the next recession

Luís Rijo — Wed, 06 May 2026 22:59:57 +0200

AI infrastructure spending has outpaced consumer spending as a driver of US GDP growth - and history says what comes next is a crash.

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She built a boba tea empire. Then she opened a second location.

Luís Rijo — Wed, 06 May 2026 19:07:08 +0200

A profitable tea shop owner borrowed to expand into a half-empty development. Now the whole business is at risk. Here's the math that broke it.

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The midlife crisis was never about you. It was about the economy.

Luís Rijo — Wed, 06 May 2026 14:29:26 +0200

The midlife crisis is a product of capitalism, demographics, and a self-help industry worth billions - not biology. Here is the economic story behind a manufactured breakdown.

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Ryan Cohen wants to run eBay like a family business. The math is brutal.

Luís Rijo — Wed, 06 May 2026 06:14:11 +0200

GameStop's CEO bids $56 billion for eBay - five times his company's size. The cost-cutting logic is sharp. The financing gap is enormous.

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GameStop wants to buy eBay for $56 billion. Yes, really.

Luís Rijo — Mon, 04 May 2026 22:18:38 +0200

Ryan Cohen's meme-stock company just made an unsolicited bid for eBay, a platform four times its size, claiming the deal could rival Amazon.

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Merz at one year: a health reform nobody loves and an energy bill nobody wanted

Luís Rijo — Mon, 04 May 2026 06:49:16 +0200

Germany's coalition passes a landmark health insurance overhaul as the Iran war slashes growth forecasts. Who pays, and who benefits?

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Germany's economy is in a slow-motion crash - and nobody is landing the plane

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 19:16:42 +0200

Germany has stagnated for six years, lost its industrial edge, and is now burning money on fuel tax cuts instead of structural reform. Here is why the decline is accelerating.

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Spending the kids' inheritance: How Australia's richest generation reshaped the economy

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 18:30:49 +0200

Baby boomers own half of Australia's wealth and are spending it on travel, property gifts, and cruises - leaving younger generations to navigate a rigged market.

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How Europe's biggest landlord got crushed by a number it couldn't control

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 18:00:32 +0200

Vonovia owns half a million apartments across Europe and still lost 9.2 billion euros in a single year. The reason comes down to one lever.

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Germany's housing crisis is making the middle class its newest victim

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 15:47:01 +0200

Germany's rental market has broken beyond its usual victims. The housing crisis now traps families with good incomes, and the numbers show why moving anywhere is a losing game.

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Why Germany's best earners are leaving - and who's left to pay the bills

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 14:55:46 +0200

Germany is losing entrepreneurs and skilled workers to lower-tax countries. Here is the economic logic behind the exodus, and why Berlin cannot stop it.

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The car payment that could cost you $2.5 million

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 14:47:21 +0200

Description: America's average new car payment just hit $800 a month - and the math on what that money could become instead is genuinely staggering.

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Jamie Dimon went to Oslo and told Europe it is slow-walking into irrelevance

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 14:24:08 +0200

JPMorgan's CEO warned Europe's GDP gap with the US is widening fast - and said the fix requires a political will nobody has shown yet.

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Greg Abel's first Berkshire meeting came with a railroad problem and $380 billion in cash

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 12:37:45 +0200

The new CEO of the world's most-watched conglomerate held his first shareholder meeting today. Here is what the money said.

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Why the end of software might be good news for the world's biggest money manager

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 09:40:59 +0200

BlackRock's COO says AI won't kill Aladdin - it will make it more powerful. Here's why regulation is now a competitive advantage.

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Crypto's worst quarter since 2018: what the numbers actually reveal

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 09:37:45 +0200

Crypto lost $622 billion in market cap in Q1 2026. Behind the panic, stablecoins hit records, AI tokens surged, and one man kept buying Bitcoin anyway.

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Warren Buffett says the stock market has turned into a casino

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 09:08:03 +0200

Warren Buffett calls today's market the most gambling-crazed he has seen in 60 years - and explains why nearly $400 billion in cash stays on the sideline.

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Amazon moved its biggest shopping day of the year - here's who pays for it

Luís Rijo — Sun, 03 May 2026 08:24:27 +0200

Amazon confirmed Prime Day 2026 for June, shifting billions in retail spending a month earlier. Tariffs, quarterly targets, and seller costs explain the real story.

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Tegut is being carved up - and Germany's grocery giants are feasting

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 16:39:20 +0200

Rewe signs a deal for 40 Tegut stores as Migros exits Germany after €600 million in losses, deepening an already tight grocery oligopoly.

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Why 900,000 Syrians in Germany are not going home

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 15:32:36 +0200

Germany wants its Syrian refugees back in Damascus. The numbers say almost none of them are listening - and the economics explain why.

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China ruled you can't fire a worker just because AI is cheaper

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 14:25:08 +0200

A Hangzhou court set a landmark precedent: using AI to cut costs is not legal grounds for dismissal. Here is what the ruling means for millions of workers.

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How the dinosaur fossil market became a game for sovereign wealth funds

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 10:58:22 +0200

Prices for dinosaur fossils have exploded, turning ancient bones into a new ultra-luxury asset class — and pricing out the museums that need them most.

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Europe's ETF menu adds income tricks, crypto bets, and a flight from the U.S.

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 10:54:25 +0200

Covered call strategies, stablecoin ETFs, and "World ex US" funds hit Frankfurt - revealing where European investors are putting their money and why.

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The woman who sets Europe's interest rates says 2026 looks a lot like 1929

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 10:48:27 +0200

Christine Lagarde on why energy vulnerability, fragmentation, and AI make Europe's economic moment the most dangerous in decades.

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The chokepoint that could decide Europe's economic fate

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 10:37:34 +0200

Europe's central bank chief has a message for governments: the worst mistake you can make right now is spend your way out of this energy shock.

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The tax break that built Australia's housing crisis - and what comes next

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 02:24:54 +0200

Australia is about to change the capital gains tax discount that has shaped its housing market for 25 years. Here is what it costs, who benefits, and what it really does.

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The FTC just let a $848 million breakroom takeover happen - with strings

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 02:14:45 +0200

The US regulator cleared the merger of the two biggest micromarket kiosk providers but forced a divestiture to keep office food prices from rising.

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Norway just dethroned Luxembourg as the world's richest country

Luís Rijo — Sat, 02 May 2026 02:03:48 +0200

GDP is the ranking everyone cites - and the easiest to manipulate. A new 2026 prosperity index explains why Norway wins and the US ranks 17th.

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America's largest home builder just cleared its biggest glut since 2022

Luís Rijo — Fri, 01 May 2026 21:56:25 +0200

New construction inventory data reveals the U.S. housing market is quietly shifting - and a big builder's move west tells you where the money is going.

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Germany's food delivery apps are built on a debt trap for Indian students

Luís Rijo — Fri, 01 May 2026 21:17:08 +0200

Indian students arrive in Germany with €20,000 in loans, fake degrees, and no options - then disappear into a courier system designed to steal their wages.

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Why 21 new ETFs on Europe's top exchange reveal a market retreating from the US

Luís Rijo — Fri, 01 May 2026 21:08:34 +0200

Frankfurt's Deutsche Boerse listed 21 new ETFs on April 28, signalling a structural shift: European investors are moving money away from the US and into everything else.

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European investors rush into tech ETFs as Nasdaq marks new highs

Luís Rijo — Fri, 01 May 2026 20:54:46 +0200

European retail investors are piling into US tech funds at record pace as Nasdaq hits all-time highs - even as geopolitical risk mounts in the Middle East.

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